Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Revise and resubmit

Not going to stay this way, but:

Popular Vote
Spread: 2.3

My prediction  : between 2.5 and 2.3. Granted, I did give 2.5 as the headline number, but with votes still being counted, I'm feeling pretty good about it drifting up.

Did I call states right? Well I absurdly didn't make an electoral college prediction here, but I did elsewhere:

Obama: 290
Romney: 248

I assumed Obama would lose Florida and Virginia. I was mistaken about this, but for the worst reason: I made that prediction on Oct. 29, and was in anxiety mode, rather than the much earlier prediction.

So not great on the EC, but pretty alright on the PV. Which of course doesn't matter.